Recent easterly flow and residual effects from a northeasterly surge have moderated temperatures across northern Taiwan, with official guidance from sources like the Central Weather Administration pointing to partly cloudy conditions and highs of 26–28°C for Taipei on October 8. Model consensus and recent observations show limited daytime heating under 50–90% cloud cover and moderate winds, keeping the peak below seasonal averages near 28–29°C. Trader positioning favoring 29–30°C as the mode reflects uncertainty in exact maximum readings amid variable cloud breaks and potential measurement differences across stations, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ align with the absence of strong warming signals in current forecasts. Updated model runs and morning observations on October 8 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.