Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to sunny conditions across Toronto on August 22, positioning a daytime high near 25°C as the most likely outcome and explaining the 35% market-implied probability for that threshold. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while Lake Ontario's moderating influence keeps extremes in check. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, reflected in the combined 81.5% probability across those three bins, with lower odds for warmer or cooler results tied to minor timing or wind variations. Historical late-August baselines near 26°C provide context, but the immediate short-range stability limits upside surprise potential ahead of official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 22 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Торонто 22 августа?
25°C 36%
26°C 25%
24°C 23%
27°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
23%
25°C
36%
26°C
25%
27°C
12%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 25%
24°C 23%
27°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$0 Объем
<1%
21°C
$0 Объем
1%
22°C
$5 Объем
1%
23°C
$2 Объем
10%
24°C
$1 Объем
23%
25°C
$13 Объем
36%
26°C
$0 Объем
25%
27°C
$2 Объем
12%
28°C
$0 Объем
7%
29°C
$5 Объем
9%
30°C or higher
$5 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to sunny conditions across Toronto on August 22, positioning a daytime high near 25°C as the most likely outcome and explaining the 35% market-implied probability for that threshold. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while Lake Ontario's moderating influence keeps extremes in check. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, reflected in the combined 81.5% probability across those three bins, with lower odds for warmer or cooler results tied to minor timing or wind variations. Historical late-August baselines near 26°C provide context, but the immediate short-range stability limits upside surprise potential ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$33Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to sunny conditions across Toronto on August 22, positioning a daytime high near 25°C as the most likely outcome and explaining the 35% market-implied probability for that threshold. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while Lake Ontario's moderating influence keeps extremes in check. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, reflected in the combined 81.5% probability across those three bins, with lower odds for warmer or cooler results tied to minor timing or wind variations. Historical late-August baselines near 26°C provide context, but the immediate short-range stability limits upside surprise potential ahead of official observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$33Дата окончания
22 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models point to sunny conditions across Toronto on August 22, positioning a daytime high near 25°C as the most likely outcome and explaining the 35% market-implied probability for that threshold. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, while Lake Ontario's moderating influence keeps extremes in check. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, reflected in the combined 81.5% probability across those three bins, with lower odds for warmer or cooler results tied to minor timing or wind variations. Historical late-August baselines near 26°C provide context, but the immediate short-range stability limits upside surprise potential ahead of official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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