Latest forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models position a high near 17°C as the most probable outcome for Toronto on September 22, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air. Partly to mostly sunny skies will support daytime warming, yet persistent 15–25 km/h breezes and morning lows near 10°C limit peak temperatures. Consensus across GFS and regional guidance shows little deviation, with minimal precipitation risk keeping conditions dry. These factors explain the market’s clustering around 16–18°C, where trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to the narrow range consistent with current model runs and climatological norms for late September.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 22 сентября?
17°C 47%
18°C 33%
16°C 15%
20°C 5.0%
11°C или ниже
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
15%
17°C
47%
18°C
33%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C или выше
4%
17°C 47%
18°C 33%
16°C 15%
20°C 5.0%
11°C или ниже
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
15%
17°C
47%
18°C
33%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C или выше
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models position a high near 17°C as the most probable outcome for Toronto on September 22, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and northeast winds advecting cooler maritime air. Partly to mostly sunny skies will support daytime warming, yet persistent 15–25 km/h breezes and morning lows near 10°C limit peak temperatures. Consensus across GFS and regional guidance shows little deviation, with minimal precipitation risk keeping conditions dry. These factors explain the market’s clustering around 16–18°C, where trader consensus assigns the highest implied probabilities to the narrow range consistent with current model runs and climatological norms for late September.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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