Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 29?
37°C 43%
38°C 32%
39°C 16%
36°C or below 11.2%
НОВОЕ
$23,067 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,067 Объем
29 июн. 2026 г.
36°C or below
11%
37°C
43%
38°C
32%
39°C
16%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C or higher
<1%
37°C 43%
38°C 32%
39°C 16%
36°C or below 11.2%
НОВОЕ
$23,067 Объем
НОВОЕ
$23,067 Объем
29 июн. 2026 г.
36°C or below
$3,590 Объем
11%
37°C
$5,089 Объем
43%
38°C
$5,123 Объем
32%
39°C
$3,306 Объем
16%
40°C
$2,580 Объем
4%
41°C
$1,182 Объем
1%
42°C
$707 Объем
<1%
43°C
$502 Объем
<1%
44°C
$232 Объем
<1%
45°C
$381 Объем
<1%
46°C or higher
$375 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$23,067Дата окончания
29 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$23,067Дата окончания
29 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate a strong warm-air advection episode over central Europe, positioning Warsaw for peak temperatures likely in the mid-to-upper 30s°C on June 29. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 36–38°C, with the highest probabilities clustering on 37–38°C outcomes amid above-average June climatology of roughly 23°C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island amplification within the city. Model consensus remains fluid, with fresh runs and official guidance from Poland’s IMGW expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow but scientifically grounded uncertainty range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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