Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 30 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 30 июня?
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
23°C 16%
20°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
15%
21°C
50%
22°C
52%
23°C
16%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C или выше
1%
21°C 38%
22°C 38%
23°C 16%
20°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$48 Объем
3%
17°C
$48 Объем
3%
18°C
$48 Объем
3%
19°C
$13 Объем
10%
20°C
$0 Объем
15%
21°C
$6 Объем
50%
22°C
$36 Объем
52%
23°C
$0 Объем
16%
24°C
$0 Объем
11%
25°C
$287 Объем
2%
26°C или выше
$98 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$571Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$571Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models place Tokyo’s overnight minimum on June 30 near 21–22 °C, creating the tight 50 % market split between those two outcomes. Nighttime radiative cooling will be modulated by variable cloud cover and boundary-layer wind speeds: clearer skies and lighter winds promote stronger long-wave heat loss and lower minima, while increased low-level moisture or a strengthening sea breeze reduces cooling and favors 22 °C. With the Pacific high building and the rainy season tapering, forecasters anticipate modest day-to-day adjustments in humidity and cloud fields that could shift the final reading by 1 °C either way before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы