Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 29 июня?
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
19°C 14%
22°C 8.0%
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
45%
21°C
53%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C или выше
1%
20°C 38%
21°C 38%
19°C 14%
22°C 8.0%
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
45%
21°C
53%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current JMA forecasts position trader consensus around a 20°C minimum on June 29, with 50.5% implied probability, reflecting expected cloudy conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling near seasonal normals of 20–21°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable cloud cover and residual tsuyu moisture could allow brief clearer intervals favoring 18°C (33.0% implied). Warmer outcomes above 22°C remain less likely absent stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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