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Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?

Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?

июн. 27

июн. 28

июн. 27

июн. 28

11°C 63%

12°C 39%

15°C or higher <1%

13°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$50,674 Объем

11°C 63%

12°C 39%

15°C or higher <1%

13°C <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$50,674 Объем

5°C or below

$2,910 Объем

<1%

6°C

$2,632 Объем

<1%

7°C

$1,189 Объем

<1%

8°C

$1,130 Объем

<1%

9°C

$2,676 Объем

<1%

10°C

$14,260 Объем

<1%

11°C

$8,176 Объем

63%

12°C

$8,474 Объем

39%

13°C

$5,624 Объем

<1%

14°C

$2,065 Объем

<1%

15°C or higher

$2,372 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C. Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50,674
Дата окончания
27 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong southerly winds and persistent rain are the dominant factors capping Wellington's expected maximum on June 27.** Official MetService guidance issued June 24–25 forecasts a high near 10°C under gale-force southerlies and widespread rain, consistent with cooler maritime air advection from the Southern Ocean that limits daytime warming. This setup typically suppresses maxima by several degrees compared with climatological June averages of 13–14°C. Traders have priced 11–12°C outcomes highest (combined ~69% implied probability), reflecting model uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of the southerly surge and possible modest warming if the front shifts or clears earlier than expected. Recent June warmth, including record highs early in the month, provides context for why probabilities remain spread rather than locked on lower values. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$50,674
Дата окончания
27 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «11°C» с 63%, за ним следует «12°C» с 39%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 63¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $50.7K с момента запуска рынка Jun 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?» — «11°C» с 63%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Следующий ближайший исход — «12°C» с 39%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 27 июня?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.