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icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?

94-95°F 38%

96-97°F 27%

92–93°F 25%

98-99°F 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$15,547 Объем

94-95°F 38%

96-97°F 27%

92–93°F 25%

98-99°F 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$15,547 Объем

91°F или ниже

$2,994 Объем

4%

92–93°F

$3,867 Объем

25%

94-95°F

$1,344 Объем

38%

96-97°F

$1,327 Объем

27%

98-99°F

$1,813 Объем

12%

100-101°F

$636 Объем

1%

102-103°F

$843 Объем

<1%

104-105°F

$2,079 Объем

<1%

106-107°F

$225 Объем

<1%

108-109°F

$241 Объем

<1%

110°F или выше

$215 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,547
Дата окончания
27 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and supporting models points to a seasonably hot day with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** This setup favors strong daytime heating through clear periods, with peak temperatures likely occurring in the afternoon as insolation peaks and boundary-layer mixing occurs. Recent NWS outlooks describe a dry, stable pattern through early July with zero precipitation expected, keeping conditions favorable for temperatures near or slightly above the June climatological average of 93–96 °F. The tight spread between the leading 94–95 °F (32.5 %) and 96–97 °F (37.5 %) buckets reflects genuine model uncertainty in the exact degree of afternoon clearing versus any residual morning cloud cover or subtle changes in 850 mb temperatures. Minor variations in wind speed, dew-point advection, or the timing of any thin cirrus could shift the maximum by 1–2 °F either way. Higher bins remain low-probability because current guidance shows no strong ridge amplification or downslope warming that would push readings into the triple digits. Traders are therefore weighting the most recent model runs and official NWS point forecasts most heavily as the market nears resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,547
Дата окончания
27 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «94-95°F» с 38%, за ним следует «96-97°F» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?» — «94-95°F» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «96-97°F» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Остине 27 июня?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.