Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Warsaw on September 5, with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h enhancing mixing and limiting solar heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 20°C (39%) or 21°C (33.5%), consistent with projected afternoon peaks near 19–21°C. Stronger winds and precipitation reduce the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 22°C or higher. Official updates from Poland’s IMGW and the next ECMWF ensemble runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 5 сентября?
20°C 39%
21°C 34%
22°C 10%
23°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
39%
21°C
34%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
2%
20°C 39%
21°C 34%
22°C 10%
23°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
7%
19°C
$0 Объем
8%
20°C
$10 Объем
39%
21°C
$189 Объем
34%
22°C
$58 Объем
10%
23°C
$0 Объем
9%
24°C
$0 Объем
2%
25°C
$0 Объем
2%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
2%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Warsaw on September 5, with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h enhancing mixing and limiting solar heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 20°C (39%) or 21°C (33.5%), consistent with projected afternoon peaks near 19–21°C. Stronger winds and precipitation reduce the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 22°C or higher. Official updates from Poland’s IMGW and the next ECMWF ensemble runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$257Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Warsaw on September 5, with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h enhancing mixing and limiting solar heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 20°C (39%) or 21°C (33.5%), consistent with projected afternoon peaks near 19–21°C. Stronger winds and precipitation reduce the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 22°C or higher. Official updates from Poland’s IMGW and the next ECMWF ensemble runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$257Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a frontal system will bring widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms to Warsaw on September 5, with westerly winds of 15–25 km/h enhancing mixing and limiting solar heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum of 20°C (39%) or 21°C (33.5%), consistent with projected afternoon peaks near 19–21°C. Stronger winds and precipitation reduce the likelihood of brief clearing that could push readings to 22°C or higher. Official updates from Poland’s IMGW and the next ECMWF ensemble runs will provide the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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