Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 7?
31°C 30%
32°C 23.3%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 16.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 июл. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
30%
32°C
23%
33°C or higher
16%
31°C 30%
32°C 23.3%
30°C 18%
33°C or higher 16.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 июл. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$31 Объем
<1%
24°C
$37 Объем
<1%
25°C
$23 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,070 Объем
<1%
27°C
$1,327 Объем
1%
28°C
$781 Объем
3%
29°C
$394 Объем
10%
30°C
$814 Объем
18%
31°C
$95 Объем
30%
32°C
$110 Объем
23%
33°C or higher
$977 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$5,658Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,658Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global and regional centers, converge on a July 7 high near 31–32 °C for Wuhan as the western Pacific subtropical high sustains warm, moist southerly flow across the Yangtze River valley. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, potentially capping the peak 1–2 °C below guidance if thunderstorms develop earlier than expected. July climatology shows typical maxima of 31–33 °C, but the current five-day window still allows modest cooling from transient moisture surges. This scientific range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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