The anticipated arrival of the USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group in the US Central Command area of responsibility, combined with the continued presence of the USS George H.W. Bush and USS George Washington strike groups in the Arabian Sea, underpins trader consensus around three carriers on November 30. The Roosevelt departed Singapore in early November after transiting from the Pacific and is expected to reach the region in the coming weeks as part of a scheduled rotation amid ongoing naval operations supporting a blockade and regional deterrence posture. The Bush has been deployed for roughly 200 days, while the forward-deployed Washington has operated in theater since August, creating timing uncertainty over whether the incoming group will overlap fully or relieve one of the others before the end of the month. This dynamic, alongside standard Navy rotation patterns, explains the strong positioning of three carriers as the leading outcome, with two carriers reflecting a faster relief scenario.