IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites remains restricted following 2025 U.S. strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, with inspectors barred from damaged facilities and related safeguards activities suspended in affected areas. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum outlined resumed verification, yet IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi noted in late June that modalities for visits to enrichment sites are still under discussion, while Iranian officials conditioned full access on completion of a final agreement. IAEA Board resolutions have urged cooperation amid concerns over unverified uranium stockpiles and new underground activity at Isfahan. Trader assessments center on negotiation timelines, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, and any procedural concessions that could enable site visits before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМАГАТЭ посещает Исфахан, Фордо или ядерный объект в Натанзе...?
МАГАТЭ посещает Исфахан, Фордо или ядерный объект в Натанзе...?
$348,695 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 августа
1%
31 октября
16%
31 декабря
22%
$348,695 Объем
31 августа
$52,839 Объем
1%
31 октября
$77,186 Объем
16%
31 декабря
$25,347 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites remains restricted following 2025 U.S. strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, with inspectors barred from damaged facilities and related safeguards activities suspended in affected areas. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum outlined resumed verification, yet IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi noted in late June that modalities for visits to enrichment sites are still under discussion, while Iranian officials conditioned full access on completion of a final agreement. IAEA Board resolutions have urged cooperation amid concerns over unverified uranium stockpiles and new underground activity at Isfahan. Trader assessments center on negotiation timelines, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, and any procedural concessions that could enable site visits before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Объем
$348,695Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites remains restricted following 2025 U.S. strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, with inspectors barred from damaged facilities and related safeguards activities suspended in affected areas. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum outlined resumed verification, yet IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi noted in late June that modalities for visits to enrichment sites are still under discussion, while Iranian officials conditioned full access on completion of a final agreement. IAEA Board resolutions have urged cooperation amid concerns over unverified uranium stockpiles and new underground activity at Isfahan. Trader assessments center on negotiation timelines, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, and any procedural concessions that could enable site visits before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$348,695Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's key enrichment sites remains restricted following 2025 U.S. strikes on Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, with inspectors barred from damaged facilities and related safeguards activities suspended in affected areas. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran memorandum outlined resumed verification, yet IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi noted in late June that modalities for visits to enrichment sites are still under discussion, while Iranian officials conditioned full access on completion of a final agreement. IAEA Board resolutions have urged cooperation amid concerns over unverified uranium stockpiles and new underground activity at Isfahan. Trader assessments center on negotiation timelines, potential diplomatic breakthroughs, and any procedural concessions that could enable site visits before year-end deadlines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы