Traders assign a 99.1% probability that Jimmy Kimmel will neither be fired nor resign by May 31, reflecting the lack of any reported contract disputes, performance issues, or network directives that would prompt such an outcome in the next two weeks. Kimmel continues hosting Jimmy Kimmel Live! under an existing multi-year agreement with ABC, with recent episodes maintaining standard production and no public statements from the host or executives suggesting imminent change. Historical patterns show late-night hosts typically depart only after extended negotiations or major public events, neither of which appear active here. A sudden health development or unprecedented ratings collapse could theoretically alter the situation before the deadline, though both remain low-probability events given the short window and current stability.