Recent vote tallies from Los Angeles's June 2 mayoral primary place Spencer Pratt at roughly 25.5 percent, securing a clear margin above the 25 percent threshold even as Nithya Raman overtook him for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent on the "Over" side reflects the advanced stage of counting, with the bulk of ballots already processed and remaining mail and provisional votes unlikely to reverse the result under standard turnout patterns. Late-count swings or certification disputes represent the only plausible paths to a sub-25 percent outcome, though both appear remote given the current spread and historical behavior of LA ballots.