**Trader consensus strongly favors a 13°C low in Cape Town on October 12, 2026, with 99.5% implied probability, reflecting tight agreement among meteorological models on overnight minimum temperatures.** Current GFS-based forecasts and station data from Cape Town International Airport show the temperature falling to around 12–14°C during the early morning hours under overcast skies and light southwesterly winds, consistent with typical October climatology where average lows hover near 13°C. Recent model runs indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling that could push readings lower. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by authorized weather services; a brief unexpected drop below 12°C or measurement variability at the primary station could theoretically alter the outcome, though ensemble guidance shows low spread around the 13°C threshold.