**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate minimum temperatures in Chongqing on October 2 are expected near 19–21°C under overcast skies with light rain or drizzle and light variable winds.** This aligns with the market's closely matched leading outcomes, where 25°C or higher holds a slight edge at 49% implied probability while 17°C and 18°C sit at 41.5%. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows milder than seasonal norms for early October in this humid subtropical region. Model consensus shows stable atmospheric conditions without significant cold-air advection, though minor variations in precipitation timing or wind could nudge the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details heavily ahead of resolution.