Official forecasts from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and aligned models project a minimum temperature of 24°C in Guangzhou on October 12, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and high pressure suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with recent observational trends showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s amid above-average warmth for mid-October, when the climatological average low is near 21.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects confidence in these stable atmospheric conditions and station measurements. A realistic shift could occur only with unforecasted increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement discrepancies at official sites.
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