Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models, including GFS ensembles, indicate minimum temperatures in Karachi on October 2 near 25–26°C under clear skies, moderate westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure with low humidity overnight. Radiative cooling is limited by coastal marine influence and light winds, preventing sharper drops below seasonal norms of roughly 25°C for early October. Trader consensus around 21–27°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact nocturnal cooling rates and measurement site variations, with low odds above 28°C aligning with the absence of heat-trapping clouds or anomalous warming. Updated PMD briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.