Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 79°F for Miami on July 25 under scattered thunderstorms, with model consensus favoring 78–82°F as the most likely minimum range. High humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling from cloud cover, and light easterly winds typical of the subtropical summer pattern reduce the chance of sharp drops below 78°F while also capping extreme warmth. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in timing of convective activity create the tight clustering around 80–83°F outcomes seen in trader positioning, reflecting uncertainty in precise boundary-layer conditions rather than any major shift in the broader warm, moist airmass.