Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate Seattle's overnight low on October 2 will likely reach 52–53°F, aligning with the market's leading 51% implied probability for that bin. A weak front has exited the region, yielding partly to mostly clear skies and light winds that favor radiational cooling overnight while marine air moderates extremes. Model consensus and climatological norms for early October support temperatures in the low-to-mid 50s rather than deeper drops, though minor forecast revisions could still shift the exact minimum. Traders appear to price the 50–51°F range next at 35%, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions ahead of final observations.