**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Incheon on August 4**, driven by a warm, humid air mass with light winds and high dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 28°C, aligns with these projections showing overnight lows of 26–28°C amid highs around 34–35°C. Early-August climatology typically features average lows of 23–25°C, but elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat have shifted probabilities upward. Light precipitation chances (around 20%) and stable steering patterns support minimal overnight drops, with new KMA model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 4 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 4 августа?
27°C 70%
28°C 28%
26°C 16%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
16%
27°C
57%
28°C
28%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 70%
28°C 28%
26°C 16%
25°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$42 Объем
1%
23°C
$48 Объем
1%
24°C
$21 Объем
2%
25°C
$5 Объем
9%
26°C
$0 Объем
16%
27°C
$0 Объем
57%
28°C
$0 Объем
28%
29°C
$5 Объем
5%
30°C
$0 Объем
1%
31°C
$0 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Incheon on August 4**, driven by a warm, humid air mass with light winds and high dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 28°C, aligns with these projections showing overnight lows of 26–28°C amid highs around 34–35°C. Early-August climatology typically features average lows of 23–25°C, but elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat have shifted probabilities upward. Light precipitation chances (around 20%) and stable steering patterns support minimal overnight drops, with new KMA model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$125Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Incheon on August 4**, driven by a warm, humid air mass with light winds and high dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 28°C, aligns with these projections showing overnight lows of 26–28°C amid highs around 34–35°C. Early-August climatology typically features average lows of 23–25°C, but elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat have shifted probabilities upward. Light precipitation chances (around 20%) and stable steering patterns support minimal overnight drops, with new KMA model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$125Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for Incheon on August 4**, driven by a warm, humid air mass with light winds and high dew points that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 56% implied probability for 27°C and 26.5% for 28°C, aligns with these projections showing overnight lows of 26–28°C amid highs around 34–35°C. Early-August climatology typically features average lows of 23–25°C, but elevated baseline temperatures from recent heat have shifted probabilities upward. Light precipitation chances (around 20%) and stable steering patterns support minimal overnight drops, with new KMA model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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