Recent official forecasts from agencies including Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau and international models point to mostly clear skies and light easterly flow over Taipei on October 12, favoring moderate overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. This setup supports minimum temperatures in the 18–22°C range, consistent with climatological October norms near 20–21°C and recent model consensus showing dew points near 20°C with minimal cloud cover after earlier showers. Trader positioning favoring 23°C or higher (combined ~66% implied) likely reflects lingering uncertainty in model spread, urban heat island effects at the official station, and the short time to resolution, while the low 2.5% on 17°C or below aligns with the absence of strong cold-air advection. Updated model runs and CWB briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts.