Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 11 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 11 июля?
24°C 49%
25°C 37%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
49%
25°C
37%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 37%
23°C 10%
22°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$315 Объем
<1%
20°C
$220 Объем
<1%
21°C
$180 Объем
1%
22°C
$169 Объем
5%
23°C
$180 Объем
10%
24°C
$541 Объем
49%
25°C
$742 Объем
37%
26°C
$103 Объем
3%
27°C
$429 Объем
1%
28°C
$615 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$2,042 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$5,537Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,537Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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