Meta’s current market capitalization near $1.70 trillion reflects strong advertising momentum from Q2 2026 results, with revenue up 28% to $60.8 billion, offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending and a major youth safety settlement. Trader consensus clusters around the $1.50–1.75 trillion and $1.75–2.00 trillion bands as the market weighs rapid adoption of the new Muse personal AI agent—recently topping U.S. app charts—against 2026 capex guidance of $130–145 billion that continues to pressure free cash flow. The closely matched probabilities highlight uncertainty around monetization timelines for agentic tools and subscriptions ahead of the September 23 Meta Connect event and Q3 earnings, where further AI hardware and platform updates could shift positioning before October resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,50–1,75 трлн долларов 40%
$1,75–2,00 трлн 31%
$1,25–$1,50 трлн 17%
$2,00–$2,25 трлн 10.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
< $1,00 трлн
2%
1,00–1,25 трлн $
5%
$1,25–$1,50 трлн
17%
1,50–1,75 трлн долларов
40%
$1,75–2,00 трлн
31%
$2,00–$2,25 трлн
10%
$2,25 трлн+
6%
1,50–1,75 трлн долларов 40%
$1,75–2,00 трлн 31%
$1,25–$1,50 трлн 17%
$2,00–$2,25 трлн 10.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
< $1,00 трлн
$212 Объем
2%
1,00–1,25 трлн $
$793 Объем
5%
$1,25–$1,50 трлн
$53 Объем
17%
1,50–1,75 трлн долларов
$1,609 Объем
40%
$1,75–2,00 трлн
$1,399 Объем
31%
$2,00–$2,25 трлн
$228 Объем
10%
$2,25 трлн+
$352 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current market capitalization near $1.70 trillion reflects strong advertising momentum from Q2 2026 results, with revenue up 28% to $60.8 billion, offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending and a major youth safety settlement. Trader consensus clusters around the $1.50–1.75 trillion and $1.75–2.00 trillion bands as the market weighs rapid adoption of the new Muse personal AI agent—recently topping U.S. app charts—against 2026 capex guidance of $130–145 billion that continues to pressure free cash flow. The closely matched probabilities highlight uncertainty around monetization timelines for agentic tools and subscriptions ahead of the September 23 Meta Connect event and Q3 earnings, where further AI hardware and platform updates could shift positioning before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Объем
$4,646Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current market capitalization near $1.70 trillion reflects strong advertising momentum from Q2 2026 results, with revenue up 28% to $60.8 billion, offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending and a major youth safety settlement. Trader consensus clusters around the $1.50–1.75 trillion and $1.75–2.00 trillion bands as the market weighs rapid adoption of the new Muse personal AI agent—recently topping U.S. app charts—against 2026 capex guidance of $130–145 billion that continues to pressure free cash flow. The closely matched probabilities highlight uncertainty around monetization timelines for agentic tools and subscriptions ahead of the September 23 Meta Connect event and Q3 earnings, where further AI hardware and platform updates could shift positioning before October resolution.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$4,646Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s current market capitalization near $1.70 trillion reflects strong advertising momentum from Q2 2026 results, with revenue up 28% to $60.8 billion, offset by elevated AI infrastructure spending and a major youth safety settlement. Trader consensus clusters around the $1.50–1.75 trillion and $1.75–2.00 trillion bands as the market weighs rapid adoption of the new Muse personal AI agent—recently topping U.S. app charts—against 2026 capex guidance of $130–145 billion that continues to pressure free cash flow. The closely matched probabilities highlight uncertainty around monetization timelines for agentic tools and subscriptions ahead of the September 23 Meta Connect event and Q3 earnings, where further AI hardware and platform updates could shift positioning before October resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?
57%
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Alphabet находиться в диапазоне от 4,00 до 4,50 триллионов долларов на конец октября 2026 года?
42%
Да
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?
75%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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