Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office
>44m 59%
39-44m 33%
34-39m 22%
29-34m 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июл. 2026 г.
<29m
12%
29-34m
12%
34-39m
22%
39-44m
33%
>44m
44%
>44m 59%
39-44m 33%
34-39m 22%
29-34m 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 июл. 2026 г.
<29m
$0 Объем
12%
29-34m
$0 Объем
12%
34-39m
$0 Объем
22%
39-44m
$0 Объем
33%
>44m
$487 Объем
44%
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Объем
$487Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$487Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking for Disney’s live-action Moana, opening July 10, shows downward revisions amid soft pre-sales and a crowded summer slate that includes Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters. Industry forecasts now cluster between $60 million and $85 million domestically, with Box Office Theory pinpointing around $62 million after earlier optimism faded. Momentum from the billion-dollar Moana 2 sequel provides some family audience tailwinds, yet concerns over remake fatigue and competition have kept trader consensus balanced across the provided buckets. Key swing factors include final-week marketing performance and any late surge in family bookings before the wide release locks in the opening weekend result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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