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Политика·выборы

Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира

icon for Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира
Политика·выборы

Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат 68%

Победа демократов 12%

Победа республиканцев 12%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат 2.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат 68%

Победа демократов 12%

Победа республиканцев 12%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат 2.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат

$1,679 Объем

68%

Победа демократов

$1,282 Объем

12%

Победа республиканцев

$568 Объем

12%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы выигрывают сенат

$38 Объем

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire's 2026 races feature an open U.S. Senate seat after Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a gubernatorial contest with Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte seeking a second term. Trader consensus heavily favors the divided outcome of a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, reflecting Ayotte's consistent polling leads of roughly five to eight points over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington alongside Chris Pappas holding narrow edges or statistical ties against Republican frontrunner John Sununu in Senate surveys. New Hampshire's history of split-ticket voting and competitive statewide dynamics reinforce this positioning over unified sweeps. With primaries set for September 8, recent polling from June and July shows limited movement, keeping divided control as the dominant implied probability while leaving room for shifts based on primary results and fall campaign developments.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$3,567
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire's 2026 races feature an open U.S. Senate seat after Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a gubernatorial contest with Republican incumbent Kelly Ayotte seeking a second term. Trader consensus heavily favors the divided outcome of a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, reflecting Ayotte's consistent polling leads of roughly five to eight points over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington alongside Chris Pappas holding narrow edges or statistical ties against Republican frontrunner John Sununu in Senate surveys. New Hampshire's history of split-ticket voting and competitive statewide dynamics reinforce this positioning over unified sweeps. With primaries set for September 8, recent polling from June and July shows limited movement, keeping divided control as the dominant implied probability while leaving room for shifts based on primary results and fall campaign developments.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$3,567
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

63%
Да
icon for Одержат ли республиканцы победу на выборах в Сенат Айовы и на пост губернатора?

Одержат ли республиканцы победу на выборах в Сенат Айовы и на пост губернатора?

34%
Да
icon for Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

31%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат» с 68%, за ним следует «Победа демократов» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 68¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» — «Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают сенат» с 68%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 68%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Победа демократов» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сенат и губернатор Нью-Гэмпшира» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.