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Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

Дональд Трамп 10%

Юлия Навальная 8%

Владимир Зеленский 6.0%

UNRWA 5.0%

Polymarket

$17,649,775 Объем

Дональд Трамп 10%

Юлия Навальная 8%

Владимир Зеленский 6.0%

UNRWA 5.0%

Polymarket

$17,649,775 Объем

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$3,371,693 Объем

10%

icon for Юлия Навальная

Юлия Навальная

$157,150 Объем

8%

icon for Владимир Зеленский

Владимир Зеленский

$499,632 Объем

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,832 Объем

5%

icon for Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

$611,010 Объем

4%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$698,528 Объем

3%

icon for Международный суд ООН

Международный суд ООН

$760,331 Объем

2%

icon for Нарендра Моди

Нарендра Моди

$544,498 Объем

2%

icon for Си Цзиньпин

Си Цзиньпин

$1,140,399 Объем

1%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,194,891 Объем

1%

icon for Чарли Кирк

Чарли Кирк

$905,872 Объем

1%

icon for Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$709,115 Объем

1%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$949,599 Объем

1%

icon for Антониу Гутеррес

Антониу Гутеррес

$419,036 Объем

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$452,448 Объем

1%

icon for Мохаммед бин Салман

Мохаммед бин Салман

$816,136 Объем

1%

icon for Джулиан Ассанж

Джулиан Ассанж

$500,900 Объем

1%

icon for Владимир Путин

Владимир Путин

$744,771 Объем

1%

icon for Илон Маск

Илон Маск

$731,384 Объем

<1%

icon for Беньямин Нетаньяху

Беньямин Нетаньяху

$496,558 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field stays tightly contested with no dominant frontrunner, as Donald Trump’s 9.5% market-implied odds edge out Yulia Navalnaya and Volodymyr Zelenskyy amid a broad field of contenders. Trader consensus reflects the award’s tradition of surprising choices tied to sudden diplomatic breakthroughs or humanitarian efforts rather than established names, with ongoing global conflicts creating uncertainty about which developments will resonate most with the committee. Recent momentum around potential Ukraine negotiations and Middle East de-escalation efforts has kept probabilities fluid, while the absence of major precursor signals or guild-style endorsements this early leaves room for late surges. Upcoming catalysts such as high-profile peace summits or verified conflict resolutions before the October announcement could quickly reshape the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$17,649,775
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize field stays tightly contested with no dominant frontrunner, as Donald Trump’s 9.5% market-implied odds edge out Yulia Navalnaya and Volodymyr Zelenskyy amid a broad field of contenders. Trader consensus reflects the award’s tradition of surprising choices tied to sudden diplomatic breakthroughs or humanitarian efforts rather than established names, with ongoing global conflicts creating uncertainty about which developments will resonate most with the committee. Recent momentum around potential Ukraine negotiations and Middle East de-escalation efforts has kept probabilities fluid, while the absence of major precursor signals or guild-style endorsements this early leaves room for late surges. Upcoming catalysts such as high-profile peace summits or verified conflict resolutions before the October announcement could quickly reshape the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$17,649,775
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Дональд Трамп» с 10%, за ним следует «Юлия Навальная» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 10¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 10%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $17.6 million с момента запуска рынка Oct 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — «Дональд Трамп» с 10%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 10%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Юлия Навальная» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.