Skip to main content
icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

icon for Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года
Политика·Награды

Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года

Дональд Трамп 10%

Юлия Навальная 8%

Владимир Зеленский 6.2%

UNRWA 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,675,137 Объем

Дональд Трамп 10%

Юлия Навальная 8%

Владимир Зеленский 6.2%

UNRWA 5.1%

Polymarket

$17,675,137 Объем

icon for Дональд Трамп

Дональд Трамп

$3,376,010 Объем

10%

icon for Юлия Навальная

Юлия Навальная

$157,454 Объем

8%

icon for Владимир Зеленский

Владимир Зеленский

$499,739 Объем

6%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$1,945,851 Объем

5%

icon for Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

Тамим бин Хамад аль-Тани

$611,080 Объем

4%

icon for Папа Лев XIV

Папа Лев XIV

$698,906 Объем

3%

icon for Международный суд ООН

Международный суд ООН

$760,480 Объем

2%

icon for Нарендра Моди

Нарендра Моди

$544,587 Объем

2%

icon for Грета Тунберг

Грета Тунберг

$1,196,485 Объем

1%

icon for Си Цзиньпин

Си Цзиньпин

$1,141,465 Объем

1%

icon for Чарли Кирк

Чарли Кирк

$907,644 Объем

1%

icon for Ахмед аль-Шараа

Ахмед аль-Шараа

$951,690 Объем

1%

icon for Антониу Гутеррес

Антониу Гутеррес

$420,583 Объем

1%

icon for Халед Машаль

Халед Машаль

$453,900 Объем

1%

icon for Мохаммед бин Салман

Мохаммед бин Салман

$817,416 Объем

1%

icon for Джулиан Ассанж

Джулиан Ассанж

$502,916 Объем

1%

icon for Владимир Путин

Владимир Путин

$744,940 Объем

1%

icon for Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

Реджеп Тайип Эрдоган

$714,348 Объем

<1%

icon for Илон Маск

Илон Маск

$733,010 Объем

<1%

icon for Беньямин Нетаньяху

Беньямин Нетаньяху

$496,780 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The recent public disclosure that 287 candidates—208 individuals and 79 organizations—have been nominated for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has sharpened trader focus on a wide-open field. Donald Trump’s modest lead stems from confirmed nominations by leaders in Cambodia, Israel, and Pakistan, positioning him as an early frontrunner in a process where secrecy normally obscures momentum until the October announcement. Yulia Navalnaya and Volodymyr Zelenskyy sit close behind, buoyed by sustained international attention to opposition leadership and ongoing conflict resolution efforts, respectively. With so many viable contenders and no dominant precursor signals yet, the tightly clustered odds reflect high uncertainty around how the Norwegian Nobel Committee will weigh diplomatic breakthroughs, humanitarian work, and institutional roles in the coming months.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$17,675,137
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.The recent public disclosure that 287 candidates—208 individuals and 79 organizations—have been nominated for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has sharpened trader focus on a wide-open field. Donald Trump’s modest lead stems from confirmed nominations by leaders in Cambodia, Israel, and Pakistan, positioning him as an early frontrunner in a process where secrecy normally obscures momentum until the October announcement. Yulia Navalnaya and Volodymyr Zelenskyy sit close behind, buoyed by sustained international attention to opposition leadership and ongoing conflict resolution efforts, respectively. With so many viable contenders and no dominant precursor signals yet, the tightly clustered odds reflect high uncertainty around how the Norwegian Nobel Committee will weigh diplomatic breakthroughs, humanitarian work, and institutional roles in the coming months.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Объем
$17,675,137
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Дональд Трамп» с 10%, за ним следует «Юлия Навальная» с 8%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 10¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 10%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $17.7 million с момента запуска рынка Oct 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» — «Дональд Трамп» с 10%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 10%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Юлия Навальная» с 8%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Лауреат Нобелевской премии мира 2026 года» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.