North Korea's ongoing military modernization drive and periodic tests to showcase upgraded systems underpin trader expectations for one to three missile launches in July 2026. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un's oversight of ballistic missile warhead and multiple rocket launcher tests on June 25, following earlier 2026 launches of tactical systems and cruise missiles that align with Pyongyang's five-year artillery and missile plan. These developments, timed near the Korean War anniversary and amid border tensions with South Korea, reflect a pattern of intermittent but sustained testing to enhance precision strike and deterrence capabilities. Market pricing for one test as the top outcome at 57.5 percent captures the likelihood of measured activity, while 3+ at 46.5 percent and two at 44 percent reflect uncertainty over whether exercises or external factors will prompt additional launches in the coming month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in July 2026?
3+ 46%
1 44%
<1 42%
2 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
<1
42%
1
44%
2
39%
3+
46%
3+ 46%
1 44%
<1 42%
2 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 июл. 2026 г.
<1
$0 Объем
42%
1
$23 Объем
44%
2
$0 Объем
39%
3+
$0 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's ongoing military modernization drive and periodic tests to showcase upgraded systems underpin trader expectations for one to three missile launches in July 2026. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un's oversight of ballistic missile warhead and multiple rocket launcher tests on June 25, following earlier 2026 launches of tactical systems and cruise missiles that align with Pyongyang's five-year artillery and missile plan. These developments, timed near the Korean War anniversary and amid border tensions with South Korea, reflect a pattern of intermittent but sustained testing to enhance precision strike and deterrence capabilities. Market pricing for one test as the top outcome at 57.5 percent captures the likelihood of measured activity, while 3+ at 46.5 percent and two at 44 percent reflect uncertainty over whether exercises or external factors will prompt additional launches in the coming month.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Открытие рынка: Jun 29, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Объем
$23Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's ongoing military modernization drive and periodic tests to showcase upgraded systems underpin trader expectations for one to three missile launches in July 2026. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un's oversight of ballistic missile warhead and multiple rocket launcher tests on June 25, following earlier 2026 launches of tactical systems and cruise missiles that align with Pyongyang's five-year artillery and missile plan. These developments, timed near the Korean War anniversary and amid border tensions with South Korea, reflect a pattern of intermittent but sustained testing to enhance precision strike and deterrence capabilities. Market pricing for one test as the top outcome at 57.5 percent captures the likelihood of measured activity, while 3+ at 46.5 percent and two at 44 percent reflect uncertainty over whether exercises or external factors will prompt additional launches in the coming month.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during July 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Объем
$23Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea's ongoing military modernization drive and periodic tests to showcase upgraded systems underpin trader expectations for one to three missile launches in July 2026. Recent activity includes Kim Jong Un's oversight of ballistic missile warhead and multiple rocket launcher tests on June 25, following earlier 2026 launches of tactical systems and cruise missiles that align with Pyongyang's five-year artillery and missile plan. These developments, timed near the Korean War anniversary and amid border tensions with South Korea, reflect a pattern of intermittent but sustained testing to enhance precision strike and deterrence capabilities. Market pricing for one test as the top outcome at 57.5 percent captures the likelihood of measured activity, while 3+ at 46.5 percent and two at 44 percent reflect uncertainty over whether exercises or external factors will prompt additional launches in the coming month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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