Nvidia currently trades near a $5.4 trillion market cap, with trader sentiment split across 2026 year-end brackets reflecting uncertainty around sustained AI-driven growth. Primary catalysts include strong data-center demand for its GPUs and Blackwell platform, upcoming Rubin architecture in the second half of the year, and advances in agentic and physical AI showcased at GTC 2026. These support higher outcomes above $6 trillion if inference workloads scale rapidly and market share holds near 80 percent. However, intensifying competition from Google’s new TPUs, Meta’s in-house chips, Amazon, and acquired assets like Groq is pressuring margins and differentiation, while supply constraints and questions over customer ROI could cap expansion below $5 trillion. The broad distribution underscores how execution on next-gen silicon and ecosystem lock-in will determine the final range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКонец рыночной капитализации Nvidia в 2026 году?
Конец рыночной капитализации Nvidia в 2026 году?
$5,50–$6,00 трлн 31%
$6,50 трлн+ 17%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн 15%
< $4,00 трлн 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $4,00 трлн
15%
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
11%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
15%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн
13%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
31%
$6,00–$6,50 трлн
13%
$6,50 трлн+
17%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн 31%
$6,50 трлн+ 17%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн 15%
< $4,00 трлн 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $4,00 трлн
$163 Объем
15%
$4,00–$4,50 трлн
$186 Объем
11%
$4,50–$5,00 трлн
$174 Объем
15%
$5,00–$5,50 трлн
$76 Объем
13%
$5,50–$6,00 трлн
$246 Объем
31%
$6,00–$6,50 трлн
$128 Объем
13%
$6,50 трлн+
$76 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia currently trades near a $5.4 trillion market cap, with trader sentiment split across 2026 year-end brackets reflecting uncertainty around sustained AI-driven growth. Primary catalysts include strong data-center demand for its GPUs and Blackwell platform, upcoming Rubin architecture in the second half of the year, and advances in agentic and physical AI showcased at GTC 2026. These support higher outcomes above $6 trillion if inference workloads scale rapidly and market share holds near 80 percent. However, intensifying competition from Google’s new TPUs, Meta’s in-house chips, Amazon, and acquired assets like Groq is pressuring margins and differentiation, while supply constraints and questions over customer ROI could cap expansion below $5 trillion. The broad distribution underscores how execution on next-gen silicon and ecosystem lock-in will determine the final range.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Объем
$1,049Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia currently trades near a $5.4 trillion market cap, with trader sentiment split across 2026 year-end brackets reflecting uncertainty around sustained AI-driven growth. Primary catalysts include strong data-center demand for its GPUs and Blackwell platform, upcoming Rubin architecture in the second half of the year, and advances in agentic and physical AI showcased at GTC 2026. These support higher outcomes above $6 trillion if inference workloads scale rapidly and market share holds near 80 percent. However, intensifying competition from Google’s new TPUs, Meta’s in-house chips, Amazon, and acquired assets like Groq is pressuring margins and differentiation, while supply constraints and questions over customer ROI could cap expansion below $5 trillion. The broad distribution underscores how execution on next-gen silicon and ecosystem lock-in will determine the final range.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$1,049Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia currently trades near a $5.4 trillion market cap, with trader sentiment split across 2026 year-end brackets reflecting uncertainty around sustained AI-driven growth. Primary catalysts include strong data-center demand for its GPUs and Blackwell platform, upcoming Rubin architecture in the second half of the year, and advances in agentic and physical AI showcased at GTC 2026. These support higher outcomes above $6 trillion if inference workloads scale rapidly and market share holds near 80 percent. However, intensifying competition from Google’s new TPUs, Meta’s in-house chips, Amazon, and acquired assets like Groq is pressuring margins and differentiation, while supply constraints and questions over customer ROI could cap expansion below $5 trillion. The broad distribution underscores how execution on next-gen silicon and ecosystem lock-in will determine the final range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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