Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМеста в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
Менее 190 27%
195-199 13%
200–204 11.6%
190-194 12%
$234,000 Объем
$234,000 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Менее 190
27%
190-194
12%
195-199
13%
200–204
12%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
1%
Менее 190 27%
195-199 13%
200–204 11.6%
190-194 12%
$234,000 Объем
$234,000 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Менее 190
$17,559 Объем
27%
190-194
$8,510 Объем
12%
195-199
$28,089 Объем
13%
200–204
$22,113 Объем
12%
205-209
$35,373 Объем
10%
210-214
$12,829 Объем
9%
215-219
$7,989 Объем
11%
220-224
$53,712 Объем
9%
225-229
$21,389 Объем
3%
230+
$26,436 Объем
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$234,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$234,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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