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icon for Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
Политика·Выборы в США

Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

icon for Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
Политика·Выборы в США

Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

Менее 190 24%

190-194 14%

195-199 12%

200–204 11.6%

Polymarket

$286,550 Объем

Менее 190 24%

190-194 14%

195-199 12%

200–204 11.6%

Polymarket

$286,550 Объем

Менее 190

$32,984 Объем

24%

190-194

$13,814 Объем

14%

195-199

$32,609 Объем

12%

200–204

$24,750 Объем

12%

205-209

$40,227 Объем

11%

210-214

$15,669 Объем

9%

215-219

$11,463 Объем

5%

220-224

$59,267 Объем

6%

225-229

$24,767 Объем

5%

230+

$31,001 Объем

4%

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling averages show Democrats holding a consistent 5- to 7-point lead in the generic congressional ballot, reflecting the typical midterm penalty for the president's party. Special elections through mid-2026 have featured Democratic overperformance of roughly 10 points relative to 2024 baselines, while Cook Political Report and other ratings identify around 46 battleground districts with a slight Democratic tilt among open seats. Redistricting adjustments in states such as Florida and North Carolina have bolstered some Republican defensive positions, yet 59 incumbents are retiring and voter turnout patterns in off-year contests historically favor the opposition. These elements have concentrated trader expectations on Republican seat totals falling into the low 190s or below, with narrower bands around 200 reflecting uncertainty over late-cycle shifts in turnout or economic conditions.

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$286,550
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling averages show Democrats holding a consistent 5- to 7-point lead in the generic congressional ballot, reflecting the typical midterm penalty for the president's party. Special elections through mid-2026 have featured Democratic overperformance of roughly 10 points relative to 2024 baselines, while Cook Political Report and other ratings identify around 46 battleground districts with a slight Democratic tilt among open seats. Redistricting adjustments in states such as Florida and North Carolina have bolstered some Republican defensive positions, yet 59 incumbents are retiring and voter turnout patterns in off-year contests historically favor the opposition. These elements have concentrated trader expectations on Republican seat totals falling into the low 190s or below, with narrower bands around 200 reflecting uncertainty over late-cycle shifts in turnout or economic conditions.

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$286,550
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли у Республиканской партии 47 или меньше мест в Сенате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

Будет ли у Республиканской партии 47 или меньше мест в Сенате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

28%
Да
icon for Будет ли у республиканцев 47–49 мест в Сенате и 193–207 мест в Палате представителей после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

Будет ли у республиканцев 47–49 мест в Сенате и 193–207 мест в Палате представителей после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

25%
Да
icon for Будет ли Демократическая партия контролировать Палату представителей после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

Будет ли Демократическая партия контролировать Палату представителей после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?

88%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Менее 190» с 24%, за ним следует «190-194» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 24¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $286.6K с момента запуска рынка Dec 18, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?» — «Менее 190» с 24%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 24%. Следующий ближайший исход — «190-194» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.