Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to lift the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid persistent inflation pressures, market-implied odds heavily favor no further change at the June 16 meeting. Recent CPI readings showed headline inflation climbing to around 4 percent year-over-year, driven by higher energy costs, yet the RBA's updated forecasts point to a gradual decline toward the 2-3 percent target by 2028. With the labor market remaining resilient but showing early signs of softening, traders price in limited scope for additional tightening in the near term while assigning only modest probability to another hike. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will shape the final assessment ahead of the June policy statement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБез изменений 82%
Увеличение 18%
Снижение <1%
$25,462 Объем
$25,462 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
82%
Увеличение
24%
Без изменений 82%
Увеличение 18%
Снижение <1%
$25,462 Объем
$25,462 Объем
Снижение
<1%
Без изменений
82%
Увеличение
24%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to lift the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent amid persistent inflation pressures, market-implied odds heavily favor no further change at the June 16 meeting. Recent CPI readings showed headline inflation climbing to around 4 percent year-over-year, driven by higher energy costs, yet the RBA's updated forecasts point to a gradual decline toward the 2-3 percent target by 2028. With the labor market remaining resilient but showing early signs of softening, traders price in limited scope for additional tightening in the near term while assigning only modest probability to another hike. Key upcoming data on inflation and employment will shape the final assessment ahead of the June policy statement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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