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icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

icon for RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

окт. 31

дек. 31

окт. 31

дек. 31

21% вероятность
Polymarket

$24,839 Объем

21% вероятность
Polymarket

$24,839 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**RFK Jr. remains HHS Secretary with strong backing from President Trump more than 18 months after his narrow February 2025 Senate confirmation.** Recent leadership reorganizations at the department, continued implementation of the Make America Healthy Again agenda, and public appearances such as a planned September 2026 address at a Children’s Health Defense event signal ongoing engagement in the role rather than any exit signals. Critics including Democratic lawmakers, public health organizations, and over 1,000 current and former HHS employees have called for his resignation amid disputes over vaccine policies, food safety recalls, and staffing changes, but these have produced no Republican-led removal efforts. Federal court rulings have temporarily blocked some vaccine advisory and schedule alterations, with appeals underway, yet these legal hurdles have not altered the administration’s support. With the 2026 midterms approaching and no public indications of waning White House confidence, traders assess the probability of departure by year-end as limited, reflecting the central role of presidential backing in cabinet tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,839
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**RFK Jr. remains HHS Secretary with strong backing from President Trump more than 18 months after his narrow February 2025 Senate confirmation.** Recent leadership reorganizations at the department, continued implementation of the Make America Healthy Again agenda, and public appearances such as a planned September 2026 address at a Children’s Health Defense event signal ongoing engagement in the role rather than any exit signals. Critics including Democratic lawmakers, public health organizations, and over 1,000 current and former HHS employees have called for his resignation amid disputes over vaccine policies, food safety recalls, and staffing changes, but these have produced no Republican-led removal efforts. Federal court rulings have temporarily blocked some vaccine advisory and schedule alterations, with appeals underway, yet these legal hurdles have not altered the administration’s support. With the 2026 midterms approaching and no public indications of waning White House confidence, traders assess the probability of departure by year-end as limited, reflecting the central role of presidential backing in cabinet tenure.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) ceases to be United States Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.)'s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (RFK Jr.) and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$24,839
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 21% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 21¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 21%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $24.8K с момента запуска рынка Mar 19, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» составляет 21% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 21%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «RFK Jr. Out by December 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.