Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability of remaining the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, driven by his unprecedented $826 billion net worth—fueled by Tesla's resilience and the game-changing February SpaceX-xAI merger that valued the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, where Musk holds a 43% stake. This creates a staggering $500 billion-plus gap over distant challengers like Larry Page ($326 billion) and Sergey Brin, cementing Musk's frontrunner status amid AI and space momentum. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent stock-fueled rise to $155 billion earns 1.2% odds, while Warren Buffett (1.3%) and others trail due to slower Berkshire or legacy tech growth. Volatility in public markets and private valuations leaves room for upsets, with Tesla earnings and Starship launches as key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый богатый человек на 31 декабря 2026 года?
Самый богатый человек на 31 декабря 2026 года?
Илон Маск 90%
Уоррен Баффет 1.3%
Дженсен Хуанг 1.2%
Марк Цукерберг 1.2%
$1,793,120 Объем
$1,793,120 Объем
Илон Маск
90%
Уоррен Баффет
1%
Дженсен Хуанг
1%
Марк Цукерберг
1%
Стив Балмер
1%
Сергей Брин
1%
Бернар Арно
1%
Ларри Пейдж
1%
Джефф Безос
<1%
Ларри Эллисон
<1%
Илон Маск 90%
Уоррен Баффет 1.3%
Дженсен Хуанг 1.2%
Марк Цукерберг 1.2%
$1,793,120 Объем
$1,793,120 Объем
Илон Маск
90%
Уоррен Баффет
1%
Дженсен Хуанг
1%
Марк Цукерберг
1%
Стив Балмер
1%
Сергей Брин
1%
Бернар Арно
1%
Ларри Пейдж
1%
Джефф Безос
<1%
Ларри Эллисон
<1%
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 89.5% implied probability of remaining the world's richest person by December 31, 2026, driven by his unprecedented $826 billion net worth—fueled by Tesla's resilience and the game-changing February SpaceX-xAI merger that valued the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, where Musk holds a 43% stake. This creates a staggering $500 billion-plus gap over distant challengers like Larry Page ($326 billion) and Sergey Brin, cementing Musk's frontrunner status amid AI and space momentum. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent stock-fueled rise to $155 billion earns 1.2% odds, while Warren Buffett (1.3%) and others trail due to slower Berkshire or legacy tech growth. Volatility in public markets and private valuations leaves room for upsets, with Tesla earnings and Starship launches as key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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