SpaceX's recent Q2 2026 results, showing revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.81 billion with Starlink connectivity and AI/compute segments driving the gains, underpin trader positioning for a market cap above $2 trillion by end-October. The company's public shares, trading near $151 for an approximate $2 trillion equity value following its June IPO at $1.77 trillion, reflect momentum from 12 million Starlink subscribers, enterprise AI contracts, and the xAI integration amid high forward multiples. Morgan Stanley's September 15 overweight note with a $300 price target highlights the AI valuation component, though capital intensity and Starship execution risks temper upside. These factors explain the 37.5% implied probability on the $2.25 trillion-plus outcome versus lower bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,25 трлн+ 38%
$1,75–2,00 трлн 25%
$2,00-$2,25 трлн 24%
$1,50–$1,75 трлн 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
< $1,00 трлн
4%
1,00–1,25 трлн долл. США
2%
$1,25–$1,50 трлн
5%
$1,50–$1,75 трлн
7%
$1,75–2,00 трлн
25%
$2,00-$2,25 трлн
24%
$2,25 трлн+
38%
$2,25 трлн+ 38%
$1,75–2,00 трлн 25%
$2,00-$2,25 трлн 24%
$1,50–$1,75 трлн 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
< $1,00 трлн
$155 Объем
4%
1,00–1,25 трлн долл. США
$204 Объем
2%
$1,25–$1,50 трлн
$761 Объем
5%
$1,50–$1,75 трлн
$270 Объем
7%
$1,75–2,00 трлн
$1,524 Объем
25%
$2,00-$2,25 трлн
$323 Объем
24%
$2,25 трлн+
$4,392 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's recent Q2 2026 results, showing revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.81 billion with Starlink connectivity and AI/compute segments driving the gains, underpin trader positioning for a market cap above $2 trillion by end-October. The company's public shares, trading near $151 for an approximate $2 trillion equity value following its June IPO at $1.77 trillion, reflect momentum from 12 million Starlink subscribers, enterprise AI contracts, and the xAI integration amid high forward multiples. Morgan Stanley's September 15 overweight note with a $300 price target highlights the AI valuation component, though capital intensity and Starship execution risks temper upside. These factors explain the 37.5% implied probability on the $2.25 trillion-plus outcome versus lower bands.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Объем
$7,630Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's recent Q2 2026 results, showing revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.81 billion with Starlink connectivity and AI/compute segments driving the gains, underpin trader positioning for a market cap above $2 trillion by end-October. The company's public shares, trading near $151 for an approximate $2 trillion equity value following its June IPO at $1.77 trillion, reflect momentum from 12 million Starlink subscribers, enterprise AI contracts, and the xAI integration amid high forward multiples. Morgan Stanley's September 15 overweight note with a $300 price target highlights the AI valuation component, though capital intensity and Starship execution risks temper upside. These factors explain the 37.5% implied probability on the $2.25 trillion-plus outcome versus lower bands.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Объем
$7,630Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's recent Q2 2026 results, showing revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.81 billion with Starlink connectivity and AI/compute segments driving the gains, underpin trader positioning for a market cap above $2 trillion by end-October. The company's public shares, trading near $151 for an approximate $2 trillion equity value following its June IPO at $1.77 trillion, reflect momentum from 12 million Starlink subscribers, enterprise AI contracts, and the xAI integration amid high forward multiples. Morgan Stanley's September 15 overweight note with a $300 price target highlights the AI valuation component, though capital intensity and Starship execution risks temper upside. These factors explain the 37.5% implied probability on the $2.25 trillion-plus outcome versus lower bands.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?
40%
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Alphabet находиться в диапазоне от 4,00 до 4,50 триллионов долларов на конец октября 2026 года?
42%
Да
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?
72%
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