Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven technology sectors, and recent upgrades to Wall Street year-end targets near or above 8,000 have positioned the >$8,000 outcome as the leading implied probability at 37.5%. The S&P 500 recently reached fresh record highs near 7,800 in mid-August amid cooling inflation data, including flat July producer prices, which supports expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy. Analyst forecasts cluster in the 7,800–8,100 range on 20–25% EPS expansion, though elevated valuations and potential growth disappointments leave room for the 23% probability on the $7,500–$8,000 bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 35%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 19%
$6,500–$7,000 12%
$39,789 Объем
$39,789 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
6%
$6,000–$6,500
8%
$6,500–$7,000
12%
$7,000–$7,500
19%
$7,500–$8,000
23%
>$8,000
38%
>$8,000 35%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 19%
$6,500–$7,000 12%
$39,789 Объем
$39,789 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$20,527 Объем
6%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,312 Объем
8%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,408 Объем
12%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,460 Объем
19%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,035 Объем
23%
>$8,000
$6,048 Объем
38%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven technology sectors, and recent upgrades to Wall Street year-end targets near or above 8,000 have positioned the >$8,000 outcome as the leading implied probability at 37.5%. The S&P 500 recently reached fresh record highs near 7,800 in mid-August amid cooling inflation data, including flat July producer prices, which supports expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy. Analyst forecasts cluster in the 7,800–8,100 range on 20–25% EPS expansion, though elevated valuations and potential growth disappointments leave room for the 23% probability on the $7,500–$8,000 bin.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$39,789Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven technology sectors, and recent upgrades to Wall Street year-end targets near or above 8,000 have positioned the >$8,000 outcome as the leading implied probability at 37.5%. The S&P 500 recently reached fresh record highs near 7,800 in mid-August amid cooling inflation data, including flat July producer prices, which supports expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy. Analyst forecasts cluster in the 7,800–8,100 range on 20–25% EPS expansion, though elevated valuations and potential growth disappointments leave room for the 23% probability on the $7,500–$8,000 bin.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$39,789Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-driven technology sectors, and recent upgrades to Wall Street year-end targets near or above 8,000 have positioned the >$8,000 outcome as the leading implied probability at 37.5%. The S&P 500 recently reached fresh record highs near 7,800 in mid-August amid cooling inflation data, including flat July producer prices, which supports expectations for steady Federal Reserve policy. Analyst forecasts cluster in the 7,800–8,100 range on 20–25% EPS expansion, though elevated valuations and potential growth disappointments leave room for the 23% probability on the $7,500–$8,000 bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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