Robust corporate earnings growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending and broad profit expansion across sectors, anchors trader consensus around a year-end 2026 S&P 500 close above 8,000 at 43.5% implied probability. The index trades near record levels of 7,786 after a 14% year-to-date advance, supported by tame producer price inflation data that eased near-term rate-hike concerns and sustained accommodative Fed expectations. Valuations remain elevated but are justified by upgraded 2026 EPS forecasts, while upcoming catalysts including September CPI releases, FOMC decisions, and Q3 earnings will test momentum toward higher ranges versus the combined 46.5% probability clustered between 6,500 and 8,000.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧто закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
Что закроет S&P 500 (SPX) в конце 2026 года?
>$8,000 44%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 17%
$6,500–$7,000 10%
$39,789 Объем
$39,789 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
6%
$6,000–$6,500
7%
$6,500–$7,000
10%
$7,000–$7,500
17%
$7,500–$8,000
23%
>$8,000
44%
>$8,000 44%
$7,500–$8,000 23%
$7,000–$7,500 17%
$6,500–$7,000 10%
$39,789 Объем
$39,789 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
< $6,000
$20,527 Объем
6%
$6,000–$6,500
$2,312 Объем
7%
$6,500–$7,000
$4,408 Объем
10%
$7,000–$7,500
$2,460 Объем
17%
$7,500–$8,000
$4,035 Объем
23%
>$8,000
$6,048 Объем
44%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Robust corporate earnings growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending and broad profit expansion across sectors, anchors trader consensus around a year-end 2026 S&P 500 close above 8,000 at 43.5% implied probability. The index trades near record levels of 7,786 after a 14% year-to-date advance, supported by tame producer price inflation data that eased near-term rate-hike concerns and sustained accommodative Fed expectations. Valuations remain elevated but are justified by upgraded 2026 EPS forecasts, while upcoming catalysts including September CPI releases, FOMC decisions, and Q3 earnings will test momentum toward higher ranges versus the combined 46.5% probability clustered between 6,500 and 8,000.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Объем
$39,789Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Robust corporate earnings growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending and broad profit expansion across sectors, anchors trader consensus around a year-end 2026 S&P 500 close above 8,000 at 43.5% implied probability. The index trades near record levels of 7,786 after a 14% year-to-date advance, supported by tame producer price inflation data that eased near-term rate-hike concerns and sustained accommodative Fed expectations. Valuations remain elevated but are justified by upgraded 2026 EPS forecasts, while upcoming catalysts including September CPI releases, FOMC decisions, and Q3 earnings will test momentum toward higher ranges versus the combined 46.5% probability clustered between 6,500 and 8,000.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$39,789Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Robust corporate earnings growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending and broad profit expansion across sectors, anchors trader consensus around a year-end 2026 S&P 500 close above 8,000 at 43.5% implied probability. The index trades near record levels of 7,786 after a 14% year-to-date advance, supported by tame producer price inflation data that eased near-term rate-hike concerns and sustained accommodative Fed expectations. Valuations remain elevated but are justified by upgraded 2026 EPS forecasts, while upcoming catalysts including September CPI releases, FOMC decisions, and Q3 earnings will test momentum toward higher ranges versus the combined 46.5% probability clustered between 6,500 and 8,000.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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