Recent record highs near 7,799 for the S&P 500 reflect robust second-quarter earnings growth, with full-year 2026 consensus estimates now at 20-25% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion in technology sectors. Cooling July producer and consumer price data have eased near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike concerns, supporting trader expectations for steady policy through year-end. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, though downside risks persist if bond yields rise or earnings revisions slow. Upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and continued corporate earnings momentum, all of which will shape implied probabilities for index levels by December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$298,810 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ $8 600
12%
↑ $8,200
31%
↑ $8,000
90%
↓ $7,400
64%
↓ $7,200
62%
↓ $7,000
59%
↓ $6,200
19%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5 800
11%
↓ $5 200
8%
↓ $4,500
4%
$298,810 Объем
↑ $10,000
$0 Объем
6%
↑ $9,300
$8,425 Объем
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 Объем
7%
↑ $8 600
$26,235 Объем
12%
↑ $8,200
$21,425 Объем
31%
↑ $8,000
$307 Объем
90%
↓ $7,400
$0 Объем
64%
↓ $7,200
$0 Объем
62%
↓ $7,000
$200 Объем
59%
↓ $6,200
$41,962 Объем
19%
↓ $6,000
$0 Объем
16%
↓ $5 800
$36,628 Объем
11%
↓ $5 200
$49,384 Объем
8%
↓ $4,500
$54,186 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent record highs near 7,799 for the S&P 500 reflect robust second-quarter earnings growth, with full-year 2026 consensus estimates now at 20-25% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion in technology sectors. Cooling July producer and consumer price data have eased near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike concerns, supporting trader expectations for steady policy through year-end. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, though downside risks persist if bond yields rise or earnings revisions slow. Upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and continued corporate earnings momentum, all of which will shape implied probabilities for index levels by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Объем
$298,810Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent record highs near 7,799 for the S&P 500 reflect robust second-quarter earnings growth, with full-year 2026 consensus estimates now at 20-25% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion in technology sectors. Cooling July producer and consumer price data have eased near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike concerns, supporting trader expectations for steady policy through year-end. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, though downside risks persist if bond yields rise or earnings revisions slow. Upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and continued corporate earnings momentum, all of which will shape implied probabilities for index levels by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$298,810Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Recent record highs near 7,799 for the S&P 500 reflect robust second-quarter earnings growth, with full-year 2026 consensus estimates now at 20-25% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven revenue and margin expansion in technology sectors. Cooling July producer and consumer price data have eased near-term Federal Reserve rate-hike concerns, supporting trader expectations for steady policy through year-end. Analyst year-end targets cluster between 7,800 and 8,100, though downside risks persist if bond yields rise or earnings revisions slow. Upcoming catalysts include the August CPI release, September FOMC meeting, and continued corporate earnings momentum, all of which will shape implied probabilities for index levels by December 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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