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icon for Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

icon for Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?

дек. 31

дек. 31

$316,572 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$316,572 Объем

Polymarket

↑ $10,000

$103 Объем

3%

↑ $9,300

$9,465 Объем

5%

↑ $9,000

$68 Объем

5%

↑ $8 600

$27,278 Объем

11%

↑ $8,200

$22,155 Объем

34%

↑ $8,000

$483 Объем

69%

↓ $7,400

$0 Объем

74%

↓ $7,200

$0 Объем

65%

↓ $7,000

$200 Объем

61%

↓ $6,200

$44,844 Объем

16%

↓ $6,000

$722 Объем

9%

↓ $5 800

$39,314 Объем

8%

↓ $5 200

$53,283 Объем

7%

↓ $4,500

$58,606 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, fueled by AI capital spending converting into revenue, represents the primary driver behind current S&P 500 levels near 7,675 and Wall Street year-end 2026 targets clustered around 8,000. Major banks including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi, and UBS have lifted forecasts citing broad profit beats and resilient GDP growth near 1.5-2% annualized, with S&P 500 EPS estimates revised higher to the $350 range. The Federal Reserve's hold at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range, amid PCE inflation near 3.3-4% year-over-year and stable unemployment around 4.1%, supports a higher-for-longer rate path that caps valuation multiples. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Jackson Hole symposium, and the September 16 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could influence rate expectations and equity pricing into year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$316,572
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, fueled by AI capital spending converting into revenue, represents the primary driver behind current S&P 500 levels near 7,675 and Wall Street year-end 2026 targets clustered around 8,000. Major banks including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citi, and UBS have lifted forecasts citing broad profit beats and resilient GDP growth near 1.5-2% annualized, with S&P 500 EPS estimates revised higher to the $350 range. The Federal Reserve's hold at the 3.50-3.75% federal funds target range, amid PCE inflation near 3.3-4% year-over-year and stable unemployment around 4.1%, supports a higher-for-longer rate path that caps valuation multiples. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Jackson Hole symposium, and the September 16 FOMC meeting, where policy signals could influence rate expectations and equity pricing into year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Объем
$316,572
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 19 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «↑ 7 800 $» с 100%, за ним следует «↑ $7,600» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $316.6K с момента запуска рынка Jan 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?», просмотри 19 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» — «↑ 7 800 $» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «↑ $7,600» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Что покажет S&P 500 (SPX) к концу декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.