Switzerland’s November 29, 2026, ballot includes a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional AVS old-age pension payments, two popular initiatives on restricting fireworks and ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an optional referendum on amending the Federal Act on War Material to adjust export rules. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors passage of the war material amendment and VAT decree, driven by parliamentary approval and fiscal pressures on the pension system, while the initiatives trail amid typical hurdles for citizen proposals that often require double majorities. Recent June and March votes showed mixed results on immigration caps and tax measures, highlighting voter caution on constitutional changes. No major new polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНоябрьский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?
Ноябрьский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?
НОВОЕ
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Федеральный декрет о НДС
64%
Инициатива по ограничению фейерверков
21%
Инициатива о налогообложении брака
20%
Поправка к закону о военном материале
54%
$7,688 Объем
Федеральный декрет о НДС
$1,244 Объем
64%
Инициатива по ограничению фейерверков
$4,854 Объем
21%
Инициатива о налогообложении брака
$1,270 Объем
20%
Поправка к закону о военном материале
$320 Объем
54%
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Switzerland’s November 29, 2026, ballot includes a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional AVS old-age pension payments, two popular initiatives on restricting fireworks and ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an optional referendum on amending the Federal Act on War Material to adjust export rules. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors passage of the war material amendment and VAT decree, driven by parliamentary approval and fiscal pressures on the pension system, while the initiatives trail amid typical hurdles for citizen proposals that often require double majorities. Recent June and March votes showed mixed results on immigration caps and tax measures, highlighting voter caution on constitutional changes. No major new polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month ahead of the vote.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Объем
$7,688Дата окончания
29 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Switzerland’s November 29, 2026, ballot includes a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional AVS old-age pension payments, two popular initiatives on restricting fireworks and ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an optional referendum on amending the Federal Act on War Material to adjust export rules. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors passage of the war material amendment and VAT decree, driven by parliamentary approval and fiscal pressures on the pension system, while the initiatives trail amid typical hurdles for citizen proposals that often require double majorities. Recent June and March votes showed mixed results on immigration caps and tax measures, highlighting voter caution on constitutional changes. No major new polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month ahead of the vote.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Объем
$7,688Дата окончания
29 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Switzerland’s November 29, 2026, ballot includes a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund additional AVS old-age pension payments, two popular initiatives on restricting fireworks and ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an optional referendum on amending the Federal Act on War Material to adjust export rules. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing favors passage of the war material amendment and VAT decree, driven by parliamentary approval and fiscal pressures on the pension system, while the initiatives trail amid typical hurdles for citizen proposals that often require double majorities. Recent June and March votes showed mixed results on immigration caps and tax measures, highlighting voter caution on constitutional changes. No major new polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли инициатива «За безопасную пищу — путем укрепления устойчивого внутреннего производства, увеличения доли растительных продуктов и обеспечения чистой питьевой воды» одобрена на всенародном голосовании в Швейцарии 27 сентября 2026 года?
3%
Да
Будет ли в бюджете Великобритании налог на стоимость земли?
53%
Да
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
43%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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