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Политика·выборы

Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо

icon for Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо
Политика·выборы

Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо

Победа республиканцев 37%

Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат 37%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат 37%

Победа демократов 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Победа республиканцев 37%

Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат 37%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат 37%

Победа демократов 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Победа демократов

$0 Объем

17%

Победа республиканцев

$0 Объем

37%

Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат

$0 Объем

37%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернатора, демократы выигрывают Сенат

$0 Объем

37%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas gubernatorial and Senate races as closely contested heading into November, with incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Democrat Gina Hinojosa, while Democrat James Talarico edges or matches Republican Ken Paxton in multiple surveys from July and early August. These tight margins across both contests contribute to balanced probabilities for split outcomes and a leading "Other" category, reflecting trader assessment of independent voter behavior and potential late shifts. Primary results earlier in 2026, including Paxton's nomination, established the general election matchups without decisive momentum changes since. Upcoming debates and campaign spending could influence turnout in key areas, sustaining uncertainty around unified Republican or Democratic control of the two offices.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent polling shows the Texas gubernatorial and Senate races as closely contested heading into November, with incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Democrat Gina Hinojosa, while Democrat James Talarico edges or matches Republican Ken Paxton in multiple surveys from July and early August. These tight margins across both contests contribute to balanced probabilities for split outcomes and a leading "Other" category, reflecting trader assessment of independent voter behavior and potential late shifts. Primary results earlier in 2026, including Paxton's nomination, established the general election matchups without decisive momentum changes since. Upcoming debates and campaign spending could influence turnout in key areas, sustaining uncertainty around unified Republican or Democratic control of the two offices.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Техаса в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли республиканцы гонку за пост губернатора Техаса в 2026 году?

88%
Да
icon for Выиграют ли республиканцы выборы в Сенат Техаса в 2026 году?

Выиграют ли республиканцы выборы в Сенат Техаса в 2026 году?

51%
Да
icon for Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?

48%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Победа республиканцев» с 38%, за ним следует «Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 38¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 7, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» — «Победа республиканцев» с 38%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 38%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократы выигрывают губернаторство, республиканцы — сенат» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сенат Техаса и губернатор Комбо» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.