Recent polling averages show Democrat James Talarico edging Republican Ken Paxton by roughly three points among likely voters, reflecting a competitive general election contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead—exceeding $68 million compared with Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has funded extensive advertising and ground operations, while outside groups have directed heavy spending against the Republican nominee. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with support from President Trump, yet some Republican donors have shown hesitation in consolidating behind him. Talarico has posted particular strength among independents, moderates, and non-college-educated voters in multiple surveys. The race remains tight because Texas’s partisan baseline favors Republicans but has shown gradual shifts in recent cycles; upcoming debates, late-cycle turnout mobilization, and any shifts in national conditions could widen margins before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
$755,751 Объем
$755,751 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
52%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
48%
$755,751 Объем
$755,751 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
$362,158 Объем
52%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
$393,593 Объем
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democrat James Talarico edging Republican Ken Paxton by roughly three points among likely voters, reflecting a competitive general election contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead—exceeding $68 million compared with Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has funded extensive advertising and ground operations, while outside groups have directed heavy spending against the Republican nominee. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with support from President Trump, yet some Republican donors have shown hesitation in consolidating behind him. Talarico has posted particular strength among independents, moderates, and non-college-educated voters in multiple surveys. The race remains tight because Texas’s partisan baseline favors Republicans but has shown gradual shifts in recent cycles; upcoming debates, late-cycle turnout mobilization, and any shifts in national conditions could widen margins before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Объем
$755,751Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democrat James Talarico edging Republican Ken Paxton by roughly three points among likely voters, reflecting a competitive general election contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead—exceeding $68 million compared with Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has funded extensive advertising and ground operations, while outside groups have directed heavy spending against the Republican nominee. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with support from President Trump, yet some Republican donors have shown hesitation in consolidating behind him. Talarico has posted particular strength among independents, moderates, and non-college-educated voters in multiple surveys. The race remains tight because Texas’s partisan baseline favors Republicans but has shown gradual shifts in recent cycles; upcoming debates, late-cycle turnout mobilization, and any shifts in national conditions could widen margins before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$755,751Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democrat James Talarico edging Republican Ken Paxton by roughly three points among likely voters, reflecting a competitive general election contest for the open Texas U.S. Senate seat. Talarico’s substantial fundraising lead—exceeding $68 million compared with Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has funded extensive advertising and ground operations, while outside groups have directed heavy spending against the Republican nominee. Paxton secured the GOP nomination by defeating incumbent John Cornyn in the May runoff with support from President Trump, yet some Republican donors have shown hesitation in consolidating behind him. Talarico has posted particular strength among independents, moderates, and non-college-educated voters in multiple surveys. The race remains tight because Texas’s partisan baseline favors Republicans but has shown gradual shifts in recent cycles; upcoming debates, late-cycle turnout mobilization, and any shifts in national conditions could widen margins before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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