Recent benchmark leadership and rapid product iteration in multi-agent systems are anchoring trader views on the third-best AI agent lab by end of October. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and K2.8 preview have posted competitive or leading scores on Terminal-Bench, OSWorld-Verified, and BrowseComp while rolling out Agent Swarm capabilities, Kimi Code enhancements, and direct finance-data integrations that lifted its ARR trajectory. This positions the Chinese lab ahead of most peers in demonstrated agentic workflows, though OpenAI’s GPT-5.6/GPT-6 lines and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 / Fable 5 retain edges in enterprise tool-use and long-horizon tasks. SpaceXAI and other labs trail on current evals, leaving room for late-October releases or new agent benchmarks to reorder the middle of the pack before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце октября?
Moonshot 40%
SpaceXAI 11.0%
OpenAI 8%
Z.ai 6.5%
$23,989 Объем
$23,989 Объем

Moonshot
40%

SpaceXAI
11%

OpenAI
8%

Z.ai
7%

6%

Microsoft
5%

Alibaba
4%

Xiaomi
5%

Anthropic
4%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
1%

ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot 40%
SpaceXAI 11.0%
OpenAI 8%
Z.ai 6.5%
$23,989 Объем
$23,989 Объем

Moonshot
40%

SpaceXAI
11%

OpenAI
8%

Z.ai
7%

6%

Microsoft
5%

Alibaba
4%

Xiaomi
5%

Anthropic
4%

DeepSeek
1%

Meta
1%

Baidu
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
1%

ByteDance
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark leadership and rapid product iteration in multi-agent systems are anchoring trader views on the third-best AI agent lab by end of October. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and K2.8 preview have posted competitive or leading scores on Terminal-Bench, OSWorld-Verified, and BrowseComp while rolling out Agent Swarm capabilities, Kimi Code enhancements, and direct finance-data integrations that lifted its ARR trajectory. This positions the Chinese lab ahead of most peers in demonstrated agentic workflows, though OpenAI’s GPT-5.6/GPT-6 lines and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 / Fable 5 retain edges in enterprise tool-use and long-horizon tasks. SpaceXAI and other labs trail on current evals, leaving room for late-October releases or new agent benchmarks to reorder the middle of the pack before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы