Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15 amid elevated trading volume of over 52 million shares, leaving the week-ahead settlement range tightly contested between sub-420 and above-465 levels at roughly 41% and 39% implied probabilities. Recent sessions have featured sharp intraday swings of 20 points or more, reflecting ongoing uncertainty around delivery momentum, robotaxi rollout timelines, and broader EV demand trends that continue to pressure valuation multiples. With the current price sitting near the midpoint of the active buckets, traders are pricing in substantial volatility through the May 22 close, as any sustained move above 450 or below 410 would quickly shift the probability distribution. This setup underscores how real-capital positioning aggregates views on near-term execution risk versus potential upside from autonomous driving catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<$420 40%
>$465 39%
$420-$425 13%
$425-$430 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 мая 2026 г.
<$420
40%
$420-$425
13%
$425-$430
12%
$430-$435
12%
$435-$440
12%
$440-$445
11%
$445-$450
11%
$450-$455
11%
$455-$460
10%
$460-$465
10%
>$465
39%
<$420 40%
>$465 39%
$420-$425 13%
$425-$430 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 мая 2026 г.
<$420
$0 Объем
40%
$420-$425
$0 Объем
13%
$425-$430
$0 Объем
12%
$430-$435
$0 Объем
12%
$435-$440
$0 Объем
12%
$440-$445
$0 Объем
11%
$445-$450
$0 Объем
11%
$450-$455
$0 Объем
11%
$455-$460
$0 Объем
10%
$460-$465
$0 Объем
10%
>$465
$0 Объем
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15 amid elevated trading volume of over 52 million shares, leaving the week-ahead settlement range tightly contested between sub-420 and above-465 levels at roughly 41% and 39% implied probabilities. Recent sessions have featured sharp intraday swings of 20 points or more, reflecting ongoing uncertainty around delivery momentum, robotaxi rollout timelines, and broader EV demand trends that continue to pressure valuation multiples. With the current price sitting near the midpoint of the active buckets, traders are pricing in substantial volatility through the May 22 close, as any sustained move above 450 or below 410 would quickly shift the probability distribution. This setup underscores how real-capital positioning aggregates views on near-term execution risk versus potential upside from autonomous driving catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15 amid elevated trading volume of over 52 million shares, leaving the week-ahead settlement range tightly contested between sub-420 and above-465 levels at roughly 41% and 39% implied probabilities. Recent sessions have featured sharp intraday swings of 20 points or more, reflecting ongoing uncertainty around delivery momentum, robotaxi rollout timelines, and broader EV demand trends that continue to pressure valuation multiples. With the current price sitting near the midpoint of the active buckets, traders are pricing in substantial volatility through the May 22 close, as any sustained move above 450 or below 410 would quickly shift the probability distribution. This setup underscores how real-capital positioning aggregates views on near-term execution risk versus potential upside from autonomous driving catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Объем
$0Дата окончания
22 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed at 422.24 on May 15 amid elevated trading volume of over 52 million shares, leaving the week-ahead settlement range tightly contested between sub-420 and above-465 levels at roughly 41% and 39% implied probabilities. Recent sessions have featured sharp intraday swings of 20 points or more, reflecting ongoing uncertainty around delivery momentum, robotaxi rollout timelines, and broader EV demand trends that continue to pressure valuation multiples. With the current price sitting near the midpoint of the active buckets, traders are pricing in substantial volatility through the May 22 close, as any sustained move above 450 or below 410 would quickly shift the probability distribution. This setup underscores how real-capital positioning aggregates views on near-term execution risk versus potential upside from autonomous driving catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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