Tesla shares closed near $364 on September 18 amid mixed weekly performance and elevated trading volumes, leaving the market-implied odds for the September 25 close widely dispersed across $340–$385 bands. The tight distribution around current levels reflects balanced trader sentiment driven by offsetting factors: Goldman Sachs’ downward revision to Q3 delivery estimates, ongoing NHTSA scrutiny of Cybercab regulatory compliance, and positive signals from FSD subscription growth and expanded Semi charging infrastructure. With the next earnings release not due until late October and no major catalysts scheduled for the coming week, near-term price action hinges on broader equity sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental autonomy or delivery updates. This setup produces competitive probabilities without a dominant outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвыше $385 16%
$360–$365 14%
$355-$360 14%
$365–$370 14%
< $340
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345–$350
12%
$350–$355
9%
$355-$360
14%
$360–$365
14%
$365–$370
14%
$370–$375
13%
$375-$380
8%
$380-$385
11%
Свыше $385
16%
Свыше $385 16%
$360–$365 14%
$355-$360 14%
$365–$370 14%
< $340
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345–$350
12%
$350–$355
9%
$355-$360
14%
$360–$365
14%
$365–$370
14%
$370–$375
13%
$375-$380
8%
$380-$385
11%
Свыше $385
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Источник определения исхода
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed near $364 on September 18 amid mixed weekly performance and elevated trading volumes, leaving the market-implied odds for the September 25 close widely dispersed across $340–$385 bands. The tight distribution around current levels reflects balanced trader sentiment driven by offsetting factors: Goldman Sachs’ downward revision to Q3 delivery estimates, ongoing NHTSA scrutiny of Cybercab regulatory compliance, and positive signals from FSD subscription growth and expanded Semi charging infrastructure. With the next earnings release not due until late October and no major catalysts scheduled for the coming week, near-term price action hinges on broader equity sentiment, Treasury yields, and any incremental autonomy or delivery updates. This setup produces competitive probabilities without a dominant outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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