President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP) continue advocating for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 military-era document, with Erdoğan reiterating the call in speeches on May 11–12 during the Council of State anniversary and AKP officials signaling an advancing roadmap as of May 14. However, trader consensus prices "No" at 78% due to the ruling People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holding approximately 323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 required to trigger a referendum without opposition support from parties like the CHP, which remain resistant. No amendment bill has been submitted, and focus on economic reforms and security overshadows progress ahead of potential late-2026 sessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP) continue advocating for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 military-era document, with Erdoğan reiterating the call in speeches on May 11–12 during the Council of State anniversary and AKP officials signaling an advancing roadmap as of May 14. However, trader consensus prices "No" at 78% due to the ruling People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holding approximately 323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 required to trigger a referendum without opposition support from parties like the CHP, which remain resistant. No amendment bill has been submitted, and focus on economic reforms and security overshadows progress ahead of potential late-2026 sessions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$1,631Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP) continue advocating for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 military-era document, with Erdoğan reiterating the call in speeches on May 11–12 during the Council of State anniversary and AKP officials signaling an advancing roadmap as of May 14. However, trader consensus prices "No" at 78% due to the ruling People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holding approximately 323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 required to trigger a referendum without opposition support from parties like the CHP, which remain resistant. No amendment bill has been submitted, and focus on economic reforms and security overshadows progress ahead of potential late-2026 sessions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,631Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the Justice and Development Party (AKP) continue advocating for a new civilian constitution to replace the 1982 military-era document, with Erdoğan reiterating the call in speeches on May 11–12 during the Council of State anniversary and AKP officials signaling an advancing roadmap as of May 14. However, trader consensus prices "No" at 78% due to the ruling People's Alliance (AKP-MHP) holding approximately 323 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 required to trigger a referendum without opposition support from parties like the CHP, which remain resistant. No amendment bill has been submitted, and focus on economic reforms and security overshadows progress ahead of potential late-2026 sessions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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