Recent U.S. sanctions enforcement, including the August launch of Operation Economic Outcast targeting Iran's petroleum sector and shadow fleet, has curtailed oil export revenues that fund foreign currency reserves. Ongoing tensions with Washington, enforcement actions against tankers supplying China, and Iran's elevated inflation continue to pressure the rial, supporting trader consensus around 2.0-3.0 million IRR per USD by year-end. The narrow spread between the leading buckets reflects uncertainty over whether sanctions relief talks will resume or tighten further, alongside Iran's capacity to sustain exports through alternative channels. Diplomatic breakthroughs or extended waivers could strengthen the currency toward sub-2.0 million levels, while renewed blockades or stricter compliance measures would accelerate depreciation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2,0 - 2,5M 36%
2,5 - 3,0 млн 28%
<2,0 млн 20%
3,0 - 3,5 млн 17%
<2,0 млн
20%
2,0 - 2,5M
36%
2,5 - 3,0 млн
28%
3,0 - 3,5 млн
17%
3,5 - 4,0 млн
6%
4,0 млн+
5%
2,0 - 2,5M 36%
2,5 - 3,0 млн 28%
<2,0 млн 20%
3,0 - 3,5 млн 17%
<2,0 млн
20%
2,0 - 2,5M
36%
2,5 - 3,0 млн
28%
3,0 - 3,5 млн
17%
3,5 - 4,0 млн
6%
4,0 млн+
5%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. sanctions enforcement, including the August launch of Operation Economic Outcast targeting Iran's petroleum sector and shadow fleet, has curtailed oil export revenues that fund foreign currency reserves. Ongoing tensions with Washington, enforcement actions against tankers supplying China, and Iran's elevated inflation continue to pressure the rial, supporting trader consensus around 2.0-3.0 million IRR per USD by year-end. The narrow spread between the leading buckets reflects uncertainty over whether sanctions relief talks will resume or tighten further, alongside Iran's capacity to sustain exports through alternative channels. Diplomatic breakthroughs or extended waivers could strengthen the currency toward sub-2.0 million levels, while renewed blockades or stricter compliance measures would accelerate depreciation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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