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icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Экономика·Корпус·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Экономика·Корпус·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 20%

1.194 - 1.209m 17%

1.166 - 1.173m 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 20%

1.194 - 1.209m 17%

1.166 - 1.173m 13%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.166m

$0 Объем

11%

1.166 - 1.173m

$0 Объем

13%

1.173 - 1.18m

$60 Объем

20%

1.18 - 1.187m

$100 Объем

25%

1.187 - 1.194m

$210 Объем

50%

1.194 - 1.209m

$40 Объем

17%

>1.209m

$54 Объем

6%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Объем
$463
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Объем
$463
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «1.187 - 1.194m» с 50%, за ним следует «1.18 - 1.187m» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» — «1.187 - 1.194m» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1.18 - 1.187m» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.