Recent diplomatic efforts have centered on Pakistan's mediation role following the April 2026 ceasefire and indirect talks in Islamabad, which ended without agreement but prompted statements from U.S. officials about a possible follow-up round there. Iran’s reported one-month negotiation deadline has added pressure for renewed engagement before late June, yet stalled progress on nuclear issues and Hormuz access keeps the timeline uncertain. These developments sustain tight trader pricing between a Pakistan venue and no qualifying meeting by the cutoff, with outcomes hinging on whether back-channel diplomacy advances or further delays occur amid competing regional priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде состоится следующая американо-иранская дипломатическая встреча?
Нет встречи до 30 июня 47.2%
Пакистан 42.7%
Другое 2.8%
Швейцария 2.4%
$6,413,764 Объем
$6,413,764 Объем
Нет встречи до 30 июня
47%
Пакистан
43%
Другое
3%
Швейцария
2%
Оман
2%
Катар
1%
Австрия
1%
США
<1%
Египет
<1%
Россия
<1%
Турция
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Другое - Европа
<1%
Италия
<1%
Иран
<1%
Другое - Ближний Восток/Северная Африка
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
ОАЭ
<1%
Казахстан
<1%
Нет встречи до 30 июня 47.2%
Пакистан 42.7%
Другое 2.8%
Швейцария 2.4%
$6,413,764 Объем
$6,413,764 Объем
Нет встречи до 30 июня
47%
Пакистан
43%
Другое
3%
Швейцария
2%
Оман
2%
Катар
1%
Австрия
1%
США
<1%
Египет
<1%
Россия
<1%
Турция
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Другое - Европа
<1%
Италия
<1%
Иран
<1%
Другое - Ближний Восток/Северная Африка
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
ОАЭ
<1%
Казахстан
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic efforts have centered on Pakistan's mediation role following the April 2026 ceasefire and indirect talks in Islamabad, which ended without agreement but prompted statements from U.S. officials about a possible follow-up round there. Iran’s reported one-month negotiation deadline has added pressure for renewed engagement before late June, yet stalled progress on nuclear issues and Hormuz access keeps the timeline uncertain. These developments sustain tight trader pricing between a Pakistan venue and no qualifying meeting by the cutoff, with outcomes hinging on whether back-channel diplomacy advances or further delays occur amid competing regional priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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