Trader consensus assigns a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled follow-up diplomacy after their August 2025 Alaska summit on Ukraine. Subsequent U.S.-Russia contacts have remained limited to calls and envoys, with mediation efforts at a standstill amid continued battlefield developments and no announced bilateral agenda or venue. China leads alternative outcomes at 32.5% amid broader geopolitical alignments and Beijing's leverage in Moscow, while U.S. or other locations remain below 4% given domestic political calendars, security considerations, and the absence of scheduled high-level commitments through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде Трамп и Путин встретятся в 2026 году?
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 60%
China 33%
United States 3.4%
Other <1%
$492,430 Объем
$492,430 Объем

Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
60%

China
33%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Встречи не будет до 31 декабря 60%
China 33%
United States 3.4%
Other <1%
$492,430 Объем
$492,430 Объем

Встречи не будет до 31 декабря
60%

China
33%

United States
3%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other EU country
1%

Turkey
1%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 60% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31, 2026, reflecting stalled follow-up diplomacy after their August 2025 Alaska summit on Ukraine. Subsequent U.S.-Russia contacts have remained limited to calls and envoys, with mediation efforts at a standstill amid continued battlefield developments and no announced bilateral agenda or venue. China leads alternative outcomes at 32.5% amid broader geopolitical alignments and Beijing's leverage in Moscow, while U.S. or other locations remain below 4% given domestic political calendars, security considerations, and the absence of scheduled high-level commitments through year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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